Notes

The money is still there. It has just moved.

What the 2026 numbers actually say about production spend, artificial intelligence and where the work is going.

Most of what actors are told about the state of this industry arrives as mood rather than information. It is either catastrophe, usually involving robots, or it is boosterism from people with something to sell. Neither is much use when you are deciding whether to keep going.

So I want to do something slightly unfashionable and go through the actual figures for 2026, including the awkward ones, and then say plainly what I think they mean for a working actor. I have spent twenty years watching money move around this business and my honest reading, having looked properly, is that this is a considerably better moment than the general mood suggests. Not an easy one. A better one.

What is actually being spent

Start with the biggest number. Global investment in content is forecast to reach 255 billion dollars in 2026, according to Ampere Analysis, up two per cent on 2025. That is the third consecutive year the figure has risen.

Streaming services account for roughly 101 billion dollars of that, about two fifths of the total, and their spend is growing at around six per cent. Broadcasters, meanwhile, are flat or falling, squeezed by soft advertising and rising production costs. In 2025 streamers overtook commercial broadcasters in overall content spend for the first time. In 2026 they extend that lead.

Closer to home, the BFI’s official figures put UK film and high end television production spend at 6.8 billion pounds in 2025, a twenty two per cent increase on the year before. High end TV made up 4 billion of that, up seventeen per cent. Feature film accounted for 2.8 billion, up thirty one per cent, which is the highest annual film production spend ever recorded in this country.

Those are not the numbers of a dying industry. They are the numbers of an industry that took a battering in 2023 and has largely got back on its feet.

Now the awkward part, because the picture is not uniformly good and you deserve the whole of it. Of that 6.8 billion, 5.8 billion came from inward investment, meaning international money shooting here. That is eighty five per cent. UK domestic film production spend was 193 million, seven per cent of the film total. Domestic high end TV was 688 million, seventeen per cent of the TV total.

And in July, ScreenSkills published a report finding that the number of UK film and TV projects fell by thirteen per cent over the past three years, with a plateau expected over the next two.

Hold those two facts next to each other, because together they are the single most important thing in this piece.

Spend is up. Project count is down.

Fewer productions, bigger cheques

That combination has a very specific meaning. The money in this industry is concentrating. There is more of it than there was, and it is going into fewer, larger, better funded productions.

For crews and for the wider ecosystem that is a mixed blessing, and the ScreenSkills report is right to flag it. For actors it changes the shape of a career in ways nobody really explains, so let me try.

It means fewer bites at the apple, but each one worth more. The mid budget British drama that used to employ forty speaking parts across eight episodes has not vanished, but there are fewer of them, and more of the work sits inside large inward investment productions with substantial budgets, longer schedules and better terms.

It means the guest role you book is more likely to be on something well financed, well distributed and actually seen. Six years ago a first television credit could easily be on something that aired once and evaporated. Now it is more likely to be on something with a global platform behind it and a permanent life on it.

It means competition per opportunity has gone up, which everybody feels, and quality of opportunity has also gone up, which almost nobody says.

And it means the moments matter more. If there are fewer roles and each one carries further, then being ready when your one comes round is worth more than it was, not less.

Where the work actually is

Follow the eighty five per cent. The overwhelming majority of production spend in this country is international money shooting here, which is why casting for a great deal of UK based work now runs through offices that are staffing American and global productions.

That has practical consequences. Your availability needs to accommodate longer schedules and later date confirmations, because large productions move slowly and then all at once. Your paperwork needs to be genuinely in order, since these productions have compliance departments and will not chase you. Your self tape setup needs to be reliable, because you are frequently being seen alongside actors in three other countries.

There is also a quieter piece of good news for domestic work. The Independent Film Tax Credit, which gives films with core expenditure under fifteen million pounds relief at fifty three per cent, has produced a marked rise in the number of British independent films being announced. ScreenSkills is careful to note that announcements are not the same as productions, and they are right to be cautious. But in the first quarter of 2026, spend on UK domestic film production was up sixty nine per cent year on year, from twenty six million to forty four million, across seventeen productions rather than thirteen.

That is a small number sitting inside a large one, and it is growing.

Now, artificial intelligence

Here is where the conversation usually stops being factual, so let me be specific about what has actually happened, because it is not what most actors think.

In June, SAG-AFTRA members ratified a new TV and Theatrical Agreement running from July 2026 to June 2030. It contains twelve separate provisions on artificial intelligence. Rules governing digital replicas. Requirements around the security of stored replica data. A financial penalty on producers who use a synthetic performer in place of a real actor. And a requirement that a performer be notified if a studio licenses their data to a third party for AI training.

That last one matters more than it sounds. It establishes, in a binding commercial agreement covering the largest employers in the business, that a performer’s data is a thing they have rights over and visibility of.

In the UK the fight is live rather than settled. Equity balloted its film and television members in December on refusing digital scanning on set. Turnout was seventy five per cent and the yes vote was 99.6 per cent, which is about as close to unanimity as any union gets. Pact returned to the table in January with an improved offer, negotiations have continued, and industrial action remains possible. Equity’s stated red line is AI training, meaning the use of performances and scan data to train systems.

I am not going to tell you how that resolves, because I do not know. What I will say is that the direction of travel across the whole industry is towards consent, compensation and control, and away from the free for all that people feared three years ago.

What AI has and has not done

The story actors are sold is replacement. An AI performer arrives, and the profession ends.

The most publicised attempt at this was Tilly Norwood, a synthetic actress introduced by a production company in 2025. What actually happened is instructive. The industry response was overwhelmingly hostile, the union pushed for financial penalties precisely to eliminate the cost saving that would make synthetic performers attractive, and those penalties are now in the American agreement. The economics were disarmed before the technology arrived.

What AI is genuinely doing, right now, is less dramatic and more relevant to you. It is being used in post production, in visual effects, in dubbing and localisation, in scheduling and in the administrative machinery of production. It is making some productions cheaper to finish, which at the margin makes some productions possible that were not before.

The exposure for performers is not really about being replaced. It is about consent and data. Whether you were scanned. What was done with the scan. Whether your likeness turns up in something you never agreed to. Whether your voice trains a system that then competes with you.

Which brings me to the only bit of this article that is homework.

The practical part

Know which agreement you are on. Pact Equity television, Pact Equity cinema films, a SAG-AFTRA production, or something non union with bespoke terms. It determines what protections you actually have and it should be one of the first things your agent tells you.

Read the AI clause. Every contract crossing my desk now has one, and they vary enormously. What I look for is what the scan can be used for, whether use is limited to this production, whether consent is required for anything further, whether the data expires, and whether the language quietly covers training as well as output. The last of those is the one that most often needs pushing back on.

Ask what a scan is for before you consent to it. You are allowed to ask. A legitimate production will have an answer. Scanning for a specific visual effects shot in this production is an entirely ordinary thing and has been for years. Open ended permission to hold and reuse your likeness is not, and the difference is a sentence of contract language.

Do not sign away your likeness in perpetuity for a day rate. I have seen it attempted, usually in low budget and commercial work where there is no union agreement and nobody is looking. That is where the genuine risk sits, not in the big productions everybody worries about.

And keep the receipts. If you are scanned, note the date, the production and what you were told. It costs nothing and it is the sort of thing that matters later.

Why I am optimistic

Because the money is real and it is growing. Because the protections that did not exist three years ago now exist in binding agreements, won by unions who were told it could not be done. Because the concentration of spend, difficult as it is, means the work that does happen is better funded and travels further than it used to. And because the loudest predicted catastrophe, the synthetic performer replacing the human one, has been met with a coordinated and largely effective response before it became commercially viable.

None of which makes any of this easy. Project volume is down. Competition is up. The independent sector is still fragile and still needs looking after. Anyone telling you it is a straightforward time to be an actor is not paying attention.

But there is 255 billion dollars going into content this year, and 6.8 billion of production spend in this country, and every pound of it eventually resolves into a person standing in front of a camera doing something a machine cannot do. That has not changed and I do not believe it is going to.

The industry is not shrinking. It is reorganising. Those are very different things, and the people who understand the difference will spend the next five years in a considerably better position than the people who confused them.

Sources: BFI Research and Statistics Unit, official 2025 statistics, February 2026. Ampere Analysis content investment forecast, January 2026. ScreenSkills and 4Skills, Sizing up the Future, July 2026. SAG-AFTRA 2026 TV/Theatrical Agreement summary and ratification, June 2026. Equity indicative ballot result, December 2025, and subsequent negotiations with Pact.

4 August 2026